Postmortem 02-Oct-2006

October 3, 2006 – 9:10 am

Dear diary,
Good morning from Singapore. I have made two trades today. As I told you before, I am integrating NYSE TICK and NYSE TRIN. Looking for holy grail after bad months like August and September? lol NOPE!

I have been looking for a way/tool to give me a better picture of market breath. Market tone is an important element of dummy trading. Dummy entries work better when we are actually ‘joining the crowd’.

Looking back at the last 2 trades, the solution should be DON’T TRADE. I was looking at TICK over +400 but TRIN was trending up (An up trending TRIN shows volume are flowing into declining stocks.) When dummy setup appeared in this kinda situation, I should just ignore it. (In fact, TICK and TRIN had been keeping me away from SHORT position during first 2 hours of trading)

Anyway, it was indeed another choppy day. Opened low, flat, up then down. No damage to my account since I am almost flat for the day. But, good feel of trading with TICK and TRIN.

Learnt something. Let’s fight another day.

From the desk of Tradergav.com


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    3 Comments »

    Comment by Will
    2006-10-03 13:08:51

    Gav,
    FWIW, I’ve only found the TICK to be useful outside of +800/-800, and particularly +/- 1000. That’s the level where EVERYBODY seems to change directions, even if only for a few minutes. If you’re trading the TICK and TRIN, consider trying a chart based on 3-minute bars, and give the TICK more weight.
    Cheers!
    Will

     
    Comment by Gav
    2006-10-03 13:15:29

    Will, Thanks! I will try to look at 3-minute bars. I agree with you over +/- 1000, probability of direction change is high.

    I am still new to these, trying to study as much as possible. Thanks again for your comment!

    Gav

     
    2006-10-03 18:20:05

    Gav,
    Glad to have found a fellow trader in Singapore ) . Nice blog!

    Although I trade options, but the basic trading rules are the same. When you feel uncomfortable abt the market, sit out. Remember your trading rule post by Linda Bradford? Rule #43: Standing aside is a position.

    Let’s all be a better trader!
    Cheers

     
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